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Rosneft has agreed to the terms of a deal to buy BP Plc’s half of its TNK-BP Russian venture, releasing the U.K. company from a fractious nine-year alliance, according to people familiar with the talks.
In a transaction valued between $26 billion and $28 billion, BP will sell its 50 percent stake for just under $13 billion in cash and an eventual 19 percent to 20 percent stake in Rosneft, the people said, asking not to be identified before an official statement.
Rosneft Chief Executive Officer Igor Sechin and Russian President Vladimir Putin are meeting before an announcement to discuss the deal, which will give BP two seats on Rosneft’s board, the people said. It will also bring state-backed Rosneft closer to becoming the world’s biggest publicly traded oil producer.
“Rosneft offers BP opportunities that TNK-BP didn’t,” said Stuart Joyner, an analyst at Investec Securities Ltd. in London. “It’s a good time to switch horses.”
A stake in Rosneft will allow BP to maintain a presence in Russia while exiting a 50-50 venture that brought billions in profits and years of conflict with its partners. For Rosneft’s Sechin, absorbing the whole of TNK-BP would raise oil and gas production to about 4.5 million barrels a day, matching Exxon Mobil Corp. Rosneft’s output alone would thus exceed that of every Middle Eastern country except Saudi Arabia.
BP said in a statement today that it’s in “advanced discussions” with Rosneft and no agreement has yet been reached with the Moscow-based company. An official at Rosneft in Moscow declined to comment.
BP slipped as much as 1.1 percent and traded down 0.6 percent at 447.6 pence as of 9:46 a.m. in London. Rosneft advanced 1.1 percent to 216.5 rubles.
Rosneft, a vehicle for Putin to cement state control over the world’s largest oil and gas industry, is also nearing an accord to buy out the billionaire owners of the other half of TNK-BP, one of the people said. While the shareholders have agreed to a deal in principle, the BP transaction is more advanced, the person said.
Putin has sought greater influence over energy revenue to underpin public spending as Russia’s economy slows. About half of Russian government revenue comes from the oil and gas industry.
While TNK-BP had focused on bolstering output from aging Siberian fields, BP sought to expand in Russian exploration last year, offering its drilling expertise to Rosneft in a failed alliance to tap the country’s Arctic waters. BP’s billionaire partners in TNK-BP, represented by the AAR holding vehicle, blocked that deal.
Putin, who returned to the presidency this year following a term as prime minister, has invited foreign companies into Russia to keep oil output at a post-Soviet high of 10 million barrels a day. London-based BP already owns 1.25 percent of Rosneft, the country’s biggest producer, after buying about $1 billion of shares in its 2006 initial public offering.
The deal would allow BP to leave behind a difficult partnership with AAR. In 2008, now BP CEO Bob Dudley was forced to resign as head of the venture and leave Russia after months of battling between the shareholders over strategy. Mikhail Fridman, one of the billionaires, quit as CEO of TNK-BP this year, saying the relationship with BP had run its course.
Fridman and his partners last year argued in court that BP was required to pursue all opportunities in Russia exclusively through TNK-BP, thwarting the proposed venture with Rosneft. Exxon took BP’s place in the deal to explore the Kara Sea region, and also agreed to start drilling shale prospects in Siberia.
BP offered to sell its half of TNK-BP, which is Russia’s third-largest oil producer, in June after relations broke down with AAR. The nine-year partnership has paid BP $19 billion in dividends and accounted for a quarter of its global production.
Rosneft has relied on Sechin’s access to Putin as the state strengthened control over the energy industry. The two men have worked together for more than 20 years.
As board chairman from 2006 to 2011, Sechin helped transform Rosneft into Russia’s biggest crude producer with assets from bankrupt Yukos Oil Co., and gained preferred access to Arctic prospects.
That ascent has allowed Rosneft to eclipse Kremlin-backed OAO Gazprom, the world’s largest natural gas producer, as the dominant force in the Russian energy sector. Increasing production of shale gas in the U.S. has reduced North American import demand and prompted European customers to seek cheaper prices as well, dragging on Gazprom’s performance. It’s also been targeted by a European Commission antitrust probe of its pricing practices in central and eastern Europe.
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