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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities declined, trimming a strong start to 2023, as investors prepared for a busy week full of earnings data, economic reports, and monetary policy decisions. The Fed is expected to raise rates by a decelerated 25-bp rate hike later this week, and the European Central Bank and Bank of England are anticipated to increase their benchmark rates by 50 bps. Equity news was light to begin the week, and the economic calendar was quiet yesterday before heating up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased 0.8% to 33,717, the S&P 500 Index cell 1.3% to 4,018, and the Nasdaq Composite tumbled 2.0% to 11,394. Meantime, European equities ended mixed as the markets digested some lacklustre economic data in the region.
Summary as at 31.01.2023
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