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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow lost over 500 points in a volatile session on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumbled roughly 1.8% each as investors digested the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Powell’s gloomy outlook for the economy. Elsewhere, European equity markets found some footing to close higher on Wednesday, after being flat for most of the session. The Euro Stoxx 50 climbed 0.7%, led by gains in energy shares.
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