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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities booked marginal gains moments before the closing bell on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq adding 0.3% and 0.7%, respectively, while the Dow recovered from a 200-point loss to close flat. In the meantime, European equity markets closed mostly lower yesterday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.5%.
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