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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities closed higher after a volatile session on Thursday, with the Dow Jones adding almost 200 points, and both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rising over 0.5%, driven by financial institutions and healthcare companies. Investors digested remarks from Fed chair Jerome Powell and ECB President Christine Lagarde about the need to bring down inflation to its respective target. European equity markets mostly rose yesterday, supported by financials, healthcare, and basic materials.
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