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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
European equity markets kicked off the week on a sour note, with the Euro Stoxx 50 down 1.5%, as a gains in energy companies offset some of the losses across all other sectors. On the economic front, fresh PMIs for major economies pointed to further weakness in private sector activity in August while retail sales in the Eurozone slowed more than expected. The US equity markets remained closed yesterday for the Labour Day holiday.
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