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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow Jones lost over 300 points on Friday, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq dropped 1.1% and 1.3%, respectively, after a highly-anticipated employment report failed to allay investors’ fears about the Fed’s aggressive interest rate hikes. On the week, the Dow and S&P lost 3% and 3.3%, respectively, while the Nasdaq shed 4.2%, recording their third negative week in a row. In Europe, equity bourses closed sharply higher on Friday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up more than 2.5% amid a broad-based rally led by financials, basic materials and industrials, as investors ended the week with hopes of slower tightening ahead.
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