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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow Jones cut early losses and added over 140 points on Thursday, the S&P 500 rose 0.3%, while the Nasdaq shed 0.3% as investors eyed a key jobs report later today for clues of the Fed’s future policy path. Healthcare and utility shares advanced the most, while energy and materials were among the worst performing sectors. Elsewhere, European equity markets started the month on the wrong foot, with all sectors and major bourses closing firmly in the red.
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