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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities soared to begin Q4, bouncing back after last week’s fall, which sent the S&P 500 to its lowest levels of the year. The Dow Jones soared 2.7%, the S&P 500 climbed 2.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced by 2.3%. Meanwhile, European shares also ended Monday’s session higher following the UK’s tax cut pivot and despite continued banking sector liquidity concerns. The benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 advanced by 0.7% after spending most of the day in negative territory.
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