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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities accelerated to the upside to finish the mid-week solidly higher amid a slew of data heading into the Thanksgiving holiday break. The move upward came following the release of the minutes from the Fed’s November monetary policy meeting, which indicated some caution among Committee members. Earnings reports continued to pour in, with Deere & Company stock rallying following its results, while HP and Autodesk lowered their guidance. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.3%, the S&P 500 Index was up 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.0%. Elsewhere, European markets also closed higher as investors cheered better-than-expected PMI data showing the Eurozone economic contraction eased in November and prices pressures cooled.
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