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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
European equity markets closed higher on Monday, with Germany’s DAX rising 0.8% to a 2-month high and the benchmark Stoxx 600 up 0.6% led by gains in tech amid easing fears of a sharp slowdown in the world’s largest economy. Meanwhile US markets were closed for the Memorial Day holiday.
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