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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US shares notched their worst session yesterday in almost two years as weak earnings reports from retailers added to concerns that high inflation would slow global growth. Technology and growth companies were under heavy pressure, with Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Tesla and Amazon down between 3.5% and 5.8%. The Dow Jones fell 3.6%, the S&P 500 tumbled 4.0%, and the Nasdaq Composite plunged 4.7%. European bourses also finished the session deep in the red, with the regional Stoxx 600 falling around 1%.
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