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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The stock market remained volatile on Thursday amid lingering worries over the implications of an aggressive tightening on the growth momentum. The Dow closed 104 points down, the S&P 500 fell 0.1% while the Nasdaq was marginally up. Meanwhile, European bourses came under renewed selling pressure yesterday but managed to recover from deeper losses, as investors grew worried that a tightening monetary policy to curb record inflation could tip the eurozone into recession.
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