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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US stocks ended sharply lower on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq dropping more than 3% and the Dow falling for the fifth straight day after US inflation data did little to ease investor worries over the outlook for interest rates and the economy. The S&P 500 lost 1.7% and is now down 18% from its Jan. 3 record closing high. It was a different story in Europe where all major indices closed well above the flatline, led by energy, luxury and auto stocks and supported by upbeat earnings reports.
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