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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US stocks ended mostly higher in a choppy Tuesday session, as markets awaited the April inflation report later today. All three major market indices struggled to find their footing throughout the session but it was the Dow Jones Industrial Average that finished lower by 0.3%, slipping for a fourth consecutive day. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both managed to end in the green after swinging between gains and losses, with the S&P 500 higher by 0.3% and the Nasdaq rising 1%. European markets also bounced back yesterday, following a big slump the day before, with broad gains led by financials.
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