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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The three major US stock indices closed sharply lower on Monday, with the Dow and the S&P trading at levels not seen in more than a year and the Nasdaq hitting the lowest since November of 2020. Investors are increasingly concerned about the implications of tighter global monetary policy on the growth momentum. At the end of the session, the S&P 500 had dropped 3.2%, the Dow declined 2.0% and the Nasdaq Composite plunged 4.3%. Meantime, on the other side of the Atlantic, European markets extended losses for the fourth consecutive session to levels not seen since early March.
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