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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equity markets closed slightly lower on Monday as inflation woes and the monetary policy outlook remained at the forefront of concerns. The Dow 30 and the W&P 500 edged down 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, while the Nasdaq led losses with a 0.9% drop. In the meantime, European equities rose for a second straight session on Monday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 advancing by 0.2% and building on the momentum from last week’s solid performance, driven by gains in the technology sector.
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