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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities closed higher on Thursday, as investors shrugged off hawkish comments from several Fed policymakers and disappointing data. The Nasdaq added 1.6%, the S&P 500 gained almost 1% and the Dow was up by 194 points. Elsewhere, European equities continued to underperform, falling for a second session yesterday, led by economy-sensitive sectors amid persistent worries that tightening financial conditions would drag the bloc’s economy into a recession.
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