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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Wall Street’s main indices began a holiday-shortened week well in the green as investors took advantage of a selloff in the previous week to open new positions. Airline stocks were among the biggest gainers ahead of an anticipated travel boom, while recently beaten-down technology stocks also enjoyed some respite. The Dow gained 2.15%, the S&P 500 jumped 2.45% and the Nasdaq Composite rallied 2.51%. Meanwhile, European equities rose for a third consecutive session on Tuesday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index adding 0.70%, driven by gains among materials and consumer discretionary shares.
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