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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
All three major equity indices in the US closed in mixed territory on Friday, with the Nasdaq leading gains with 1.4% rise, the S&P 500 up 0.2% and the Dow lagging behind and ending 0.1% lower, in a session dominated by dip-buyers. Still, the main averages fell for a third week in a row, with the S&P suffering its steepest drop since 2020, down 5.7%, while the Dow shed 4.8% and the Nasdaq finished 4.4% lower, as investors grew concerned that higher interest rates to fight surging inflation would drag the economy into a recession. In the meantime, European stock markets closed pretty dispersed on Friday but were all around 5% down for the week.
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