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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
In regular trading on Thursday, the Dow lost over 700 points, falling below the 30,000 level, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq tumbled 3.3% and 4.1%, respectively, bringing all three benchmarks to levels not seen since late 2020. Those moves came as investors grow increasingly worried about a potential economic slowdown, with several key economic data falling short of expectations this week. European shares also extended losses yesterday, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 down almost 3%.
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