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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities fell deep into negative territory at market close on Thursday as investors braced for a sizeable increase in consumer prices for the month of May. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.9%, the S&P 500 was down 2.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite was 2.8% lower. All sectors posted losses, led by communication services and technology. European equity markets also closed sharply lower yesterday, with the benchmark Stoxx 600 index falling 1.4% dragged down by industrial shares, health care and miners after the ECB set the path to start raising borrowing costs next month.
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