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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities rallied late on Tuesday to end higher for a second straight day as technology and energy shares gained, while Target Corp’s warning about excess inventory weighed on retail stocks for much of the session. The Dow Jones rose more than 260 points and both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were up almost 1% after opening about 1% lower. In the meantime, European bourses came under renewed selling pressure yesterday, as concerns over high inflation, monetary policy tightening, and slow economic growth re-emerged.
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