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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities fell sharply on Friday to cap their eighth weekly loss out of the last nine, as a stronger than expected report on US nonfarm payrolls suggested the labour market remains robust enough for the Federal Reserve to raise rates quickly. All three of the major indices finished negative for the holiday-shortened week, with the S&P 500 shedding 1.2%, and the Dow Jones and Nasdaq each down by about 1%. European markets also closed lower on Friday but losses were more contained, resulting in an overall muted week.
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