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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow finished Tuesday’s session down over 200 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq lost 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively, as investors fretted over the implications of soaring inflation and tighter monetary policy on the growth momentum. Meanwhile, the Dow and the S&P 500 ended May virtually flat, while the Nasdaq lost over 2%. Elsewhere, European equity markets closed deeply in the red yesterday, led by a drop in retail shares amid renewed concerns over the need for aggressive interest rate hikes to fight stubbornly high inflation.
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