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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Major US stock indices extended gains on Thursday despite the US economy’s unexpected contraction as investors hoped the economic downturn would soon cause the Fed to slow its rate-hiking pace. The Dow jumped 1.02%, the S&P 500 rallied 1.21% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 1.08%. In the meantime, European bourses also climbed in a volatile session yesterday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index up 1.23%.
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