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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities ended mixed in regular trading on Monday, with the Dow and S&P 500 gaining 0.28% and 0.13%, respectively, while the Nasdaq dropped 0.43%. Those moves came as investors braced for the Federal Reserve meeting, key economic data and a batch of mega-cap tech earnings this week. Companies slated to report earnings on Tuesday include Microsoft, Alphabet, Visa, Coca-Cola and McDonald’s, among others. Major European bourses also struggled for momentum during yesterday’s session, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 finishing primarily flat as investors digested a slew of economic releases and earnings results.
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