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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Wall Street ended lower on Friday as investors digested a slew of disappointing corporate earnings reports and weak economic data. Twitter reported weaker-than-expected earnings, revenue, and user growth for the second quarter. A dismal outlook from the social media giant followed disappointing results from Snap, which tumbled almost 40%, sending shockwaves through other social media companies, including Meta and Pinterest. Verizon dropped around 7% after missing Wall Street’s estimates while offering weak guidance. On the data from, the US business activity contracted in July for the first time in nearly two years, pressured by a sharp slowdown in the service sector, and intensified worries over the economic outlook. Still, the Dow rallied almost 2% for the week, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq outperformed by adding 2.5% and 3.5%, respectively. European bourses were also up for the week, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 up by 2.5%, after ending Friday’s session broadly flat.
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