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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow rallied over 700 points on Tuesday, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq added 2.8% and 3.3%, respectively, as investors welcomed a slew of upbeat earnings reports while reassessing the outlook for tightening monetary policy. European markets also closed higher yesterday, registering their third positive session in a row, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 advancing another 2.1%, led by gains in auto shares. Bank shares also rallied strongly as government bond yields went up.
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