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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities closed the last session of the week higher as expectations of a full-percentage-point rate hike fell while a consumer sentiment index rebounded from a record low. The Dow Jones climbed 2.2%, the S&P 500 advanced 1.9%, and the Nasdaq was 1.8% higher. For the week, however, the three major market indices declined, with the Dow down by 0.2%, the S&P 500 almost 1% lower and the Nasdaq declining by 1.6%. In Europe, the major bourses registered solid gains, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up 2.4% on Friday and 0.6% for the week.
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