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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
All three major US indices closed higher on Thursday. The Dow was up 347 points, the S&P 500 booked a 1.5% gain and the Nasdaq ended 2.3% higher, with the latter two indices extending gains for the fourth session in a row. Cyclicals and commodity-linked shares led the climbs, as softer jobs data calmed concerns about the extent of the Fed’s tightening. Elsewhere, major European bourses also closed higher with gains of around 2%.
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