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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities plummeted in early Tuesday trading as investors’ concerns of recession grew, but rebounded in the afternoon to close flat for the day. The Dow fell about 130 points, or 0.4%, after being down nearly 700 points earlier in the day. The S&P 500 gained 0.2% after dropping more than 2% earlier and the Nasdaq Composite was up 1.8%. Tech stocks buoyed markets as investors hope that a possible recession will lead to lower interest rates. Elsewhere, European equity markets closed towards the low for the day, plummeting well over 2%.
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