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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities reversed course and finished the mid-week session with solid gains in the wake of remarks from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at a gathering at the Brookings Institution in Washington. The Chairman reiterated the Fed’s plan to “stay the course” with its rate-hike campaign but noted that smaller increases were likely ahead, as soon as next month’s meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 2.2%, the S&P 500 Index climbed 3.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite soared 4.4% in heavy volume. The markets were solidly higher for the month of November, as the DJIA gained 5.7%, the S&P 500 increased 5.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 4.4%. Elsewhere, European equity markets also rose on Wednesday after preliminary figures showed inflation in the Euro Area slowed for the first time since June of 2021, providing hopes the ECB may deliver a smaller interest rate hike in December.
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