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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Shares plunged last Friday as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave a brief and blunt message that the Fed plans to keep raising interest rates. His comments sparked a 1,000-point drop in the Dow Jones average and the percentage losses were even steeper on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. For the week, the S&P 500 fell 4%, giving up all its gains for the month of August, the Dow Jones lost 4.2%, and the Nasdaq slid 4.4%. European equity markets also closed sharply lower on Friday, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 falling nearly 2% on the day and 2.4% for the week.
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