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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Wall Street closed higher on Wednesday, with the Dow adding 60 points and the S&P 500 rising 0.3% to halt three consecutive sessions of declines, while the Nasdaq gained 0.4% with continued support from the tech sector. Investors refrained from taking big positions ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium tomorrow, with Fed Chair Powell expected to emphasize the need to bring inflation down during his speech on Friday. Elsewhere, European shares snapped a three-day sell-off to end yesterday’s session slightly higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 adding 0.4%, driven by gains among defensive shares such as healthcare and consumer staples.
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