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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow Jones lost over 100 points to consolidate in negative territory on Tuesday and is on track to fall for the third session amid intensifying concerns of a recession induced by aggressively tight monetary conditions. In the meantime, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq pared early losses to hover close to the flatline. Elsewhere, European equity markets also extended losses into a third session yesterday, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.2%, dragged by healthcare and media shares. On the other hand, energy-related shares outperformed the trend and closed higher as crude prices surged by more than 3%, supported by tighter global supplies.
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