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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The main US share indices fell sharply on Monday, extending the decline from the previous week with losses in all sectors, as investors braced for a prolonged period of rate hikes following hawkish remarks from FOMC members last week. The Dow closed 1.91% lower, the S&P 500 dropped 2.14% and the Nasdaq Composite sank 2.55%. European markets were also lower yesterday, as investors fretted about hawkish signals from European Central Bank policymakers. In the meantime, the euro fell to a new two-decade low as concerns about the economic prospects for the region continue to mount.
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