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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow ended virtually flat on Thursday, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 added roughly 0.2% each as investors digested more earnings results from corporate America while weighing hawkish remarks from several Fed policymakers. In the meantime, European bourses finished yesterday’s session on a high note, with the Euro Stoxx 50 bouncing by 0.6%, driven by gains among energy companies tracking higher oil prices.
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