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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
European markets are heading for a higher open on Tuesday, having traded in mixed territory on Monday as they struggled to build on positive momentum seen at the end of last week. Elsewhere, U.S. stock futures were flat on Monday night after all three major averages gained during the daily trading session. Asia-Pacific shares were mixed ahead of economic data from Japan and India. Mainland China markets thrived. The Shanghai Composite gained 0.37% and the Shenzhen Component was up 0.491%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was also up 0.07%. Japan’s Nikkei 225, however, fell 0.13% while the Topix index dipped 0.19%. The Kospi traded better, rising 0.3%.
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