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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities rallied on Wednesday, with the Dow rallying 1.6%, the S&P 500 adding 2.1% to its highest since early May and the Nasdaq climbing 2.8% as investors cheered a softer-than-expected reading on inflation that raised expectations the Federal Reserve may start to slow the pace of monetary tightening. Elsewhere, European bourses also rebounded sharply yesterday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 adding 0.9%, to finish at its highest level in two months.
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