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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
All three major US equity indices pared earlier gains on Monday with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing in the red as weak guidance from Nvidia rattled sentiment. On the positive side, shares of clean-energy companies enjoyed gains after Senate approved a $430 billion bill to tackle climate change, lower drug prices, and raise corporate taxes. Elsewhere, major equity market indices in Europe closed higher yesterday following the release of a new batch of economic data and updates on the situation regarding the Ukraine crisis.
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