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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Stock futures were little changed early on Monday morning, following the S&P 500′s third straight weekly gain, as investors shifted focus to a key inflation report this week. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 30 points or 0.09%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.16% and 0.09%, respectively. The Shanghai Composite rose 0.2% to above 3,230 while the Shenzhen Component edged up 0.15% to 12,288 on Monday, rising for the third straight session as Chinese trade data released over the weekend surprised markets to the upside, raising hopes for an economic rebound.
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