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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities finished Thursday’s session mixed, as caution appeared to have set in ahead of today’s key July labour report. The Dow Jones lost 0.3%, the SP 500 shed 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.4%. Europe was mostly higher, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 adding 0.6% as gains across travel and leisure shares more than offset losses in oil and gas companies.
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