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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Major US stock indexes fell on Tuesday as investors weighed increased tensions between the US and China with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit and reacted to comments from Fed officials about the central bank’s path forward. The Dow shed 1.23%, the S&P 500 lost 0.67%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.16%. In the meantime, the major European bourses also fell for a second day, with the Euro Stoxx 50 index down 0.59%.
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