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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Major US stock indices slipped on the first trading day of August, after finishing their best month since 2020, as investors became more cautious ahead of another slew of economic data and earnings reports. The S&P 500 shed 0.3%, the Nasdaq fell 0.2% and the Dow was down 0.1%. The energy sector was a big drag as oil prices fell, while gains in Boeing helped to contain the loss after the US approved a plan to resume 787 deliveries. Elsewhere, European markets also struggled to make headway, ending the day lower, dragged by energy and real estate shares.
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