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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Major US stock indices ended last week in green, marking their best performances in 2022, supported by strong earnings from tech giants like Apple and Amazon. The Dow added 0.97%, the S&P 500 climbed 1.42% and the Nasdaq advanced 1.88%. Also, investors’ fears about the Fed’s aggressive rate-hiking pace waned after the US economy unexpectedly contracted for the second straight quarter. On the week, the Dow rose 2.96%, the S&P 500 4.27% and the Nasdaq 4.7%. European equity markets also extended gains for a third session on Friday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 finishing at an over seven-week high and recording its best monthly performance since November 2020.
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