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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The major US averages reversed early losses to close higher on Monday, led by the Nasdaq Composite’s 1.3% rise, while the Dow and the S&P 500 gained 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively. The moves came as tech names rallied in the afternoon amid falling bond yields and ahead of an intense week of earnings for mega cap tech stocks. Earlier, uncertainty reverberated across world markets, with Chinese shares marking their biggest slump since a pandemic-led selling in February 2020 and European stocks falling to their lowest in over a month on fears to strict restrictions in China.
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