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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Wall Street capped another losing week on Friday, as investors weighted a faster pace of Federal Reserve tightening. The Dow was down 1.9% for its fourth straight weekly decline, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.8% and 3.8%, respectively, posting their third straight weekly decline. European markets also ended the week on a bearish note, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 down 1.7% on rising concerns about central bank tightening amid a slowing global economy.
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