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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The major US averages closed slightly lower in a seesaw session on Monday, with the Dow and Nasdaq Composite each falling 0.1%, while the S&P 500 was basically flat. Healthcare stocks led the declines, while energy firms outperformed. Meantime European markets remain closed on Monday for a banking holiday.
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