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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
All three main US stock indices rebounded firmly on Wednesday, with the Dow finishing the session 1.0% higher, the S&P 500 gaining 1.1%, and Nasdaq advancing 2%, as investors monitored the start of the US earnings season and shrugged off inflation numbers. Meantime, European stocks closed lower for a third straight session.
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